To receive Ilya’s analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE
- USD/JPY Technical Strategy: Flat
- Support: 101.82, 101.43, 101.04
- Resistance: 102.30, 102.60, 103.08
The US Dollar continues to sink against the Japanese Yen after finding resistance near the 103.00 figure, with prices tagging a two-week low. A daily close below the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion at 101.82 exposes the 50% level at 101.43. Alternatively, a turn above the 23.6% Fib at 102.30 clears the way for a test of the 14.6% expansion at 102.60.
Our reluctance to enter long earlier in the week is proving prescient. Although we maintain a supportive long-term view on USDJPY, a drop in the SP 500 warns that spreading risk aversion will drive an unwinding of JPY-funded carry trades and continue to push the Japanese unit higher in the near- to medium-term. With that in mind, we remain flat.
Add these technical levels directly to your charts with our Support/Resistance Wizard app!
Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com